Ultimate PP Analysis · Ellis Park

Sunday Card Report

Ellis Park (ELP) · Henderson, KY · Sunday, July 19, 2026 · 9 Races · First post 12:50 CT

FORECAST High 87.7°F · Partly cloudy RAIN 40% chance (afternoon) TRACK Fast dirt expected · Turf firm/good if it holds RECENT Sat. showers left moisture in the ground

This is a factual handicapping breakdown of all nine races, built entirely from the Brisnet past-performance data in the program (prime power, speed/pace figures, run styles, connections, breeding, and the printed meet/week track-bias study). Two structural facts drive the whole card and every selection below.

Structural read #1 — The track is playing to speed and the rail

Across the meet the dirt sprints show a speed bias of roughly 67–100% with E and E/P (early) types winning 44–80% of races and the rail/1-3 posts carrying positive impact values. Week-to-date the effect is even stronger (100% speed bias on the 6f dirt, rail impact 2.52). Translation: horses that show early foot and save ground are advantaged; deep closers must overcome the surface.

The lone turf-route sample at the meet also favored E/P near the rail (impact value 5.41 for E/P, 10.00 for the rail), though that is a one-race sample and should be weighted lightly.

Structural read #2 — Weather threatens the turf

Sunday's forecast is a high near 87.7°F with a 40% chance of afternoon rain, following Saturday showers. Four races are carded on grass — Races 3, 5, 7 and 9 — and each contains a printed "if deemed inadvisable" clause moving the race to the main dirt track.

This matters for the Pick 5. Three of the five Pick-5 legs (Races 5, 7 and 9) are turf races. If any come off the grass, the picture shifts toward proven-dirt and tactical-speed types. Selections below note the off-the-turf angle where it changes the answer.

Track Bias Snapshot

Meet 07/04–07/17 · printed in program

Dirt 6.5f

100%

Speed bias · E/P impact 2.86 (80% of races won)

Dirt 6.0f (wk)

100%

Speed bias week-to-date · rail impact 2.52

Dirt 8.0f

87%

Speed bias · E/P impact 1.60–2.10

Dirt 5.5f

67%

E impact 1.42 (44% wire-to-wire class)

Turf 5.5f

50%

E/P & P share; posts 4-7 impact 1.80

Turf routes

100%

1-race sample · rail & E/P favored

The Pick 5 — Races 5 through 9

$0.50 base · 50-cent minimum

Sequence card

Pick 5 Legs & Selections

KEY = top choice · standard = live contender · faded = spread/all-weather saver. "Off-turf" notes flag horses who improve if a leg comes off the grass.

Leg 1Race 5 · Turf 1⅛m Alw

1 Sneakily 5 Totally Justified 6 Classic Glide 3 Noshametohergame

Leg 2Race 6 · Dirt 1m OC

4 Classic Car Wash 5 Lunar Module 7 Urban Planner 3 So Sandy 8 Dive Bomber

Leg 3Race 7 · Turf 1m Mdn 2yo

2 Code Zero 3 Smoke Trail 6 Best Screenplay 5 Good to Be King 8 Warfork

Leg 4Race 8 · Twin Bridges S. 6f

6 Cash Call 5 One Magic Philly 3 Evanescence 4 Kilwin 9 Echo Sound

Leg 5Race 9 · Turf 1⅛m Mdn

4 Let's Be Frank 7 Banksy's 5 Payton's Hammer 10 Ravenous 2 Limelight 12 Diamond Eyed Jack

Ticket A · Saver$18.00

R51 (single)
R64, 5, 3
R72, 3
R86, 5
R94, 7, 5

1×3×2×2×3 = 36 combos × $0.50. Leans on Sneakily and the two class horses in each dirt/stakes leg.

Ticket B · Main$200.00

R51 (single)
R64, 5, 3, 7, 8
R72, 3, 6, 8
R86, 5, 3, 4
R94, 7, 5, 10, 2

1×5×4×4×5 = 400 combos × $0.50. Still singles Sneakily but widens the two toughest legs (6 & 9).

Ticket C · Spread$72.00

R51 (single)
R64, 5, 3, 7
R72, 3, 6
R86, 5, 3
R94, 7, 5, 2

1×4×3×3×4 = 144 combos × $0.50. The middle-ground play if you trust Sneakily but want coverage.

Pick-5 logic in one paragraph

Leg 1 (R5) is the anchor: Sneakily has a 4-point prime-power edge, the barn (Cox) and rider (Geroux) are hot, and she posted the field's top last-race figure winning her only 2026 start. If you cannot single, add #5 Totally Justified. Leg 4 (R8, the stakes) and Leg 2 (R6) are the deepest legs — both are stacked with speed types on a speed-favoring surface, so spend spread dollars there. Legs 3 & 5 are wide-open maiden turf routes; the KEY plus one or two live firsters/droppers is enough on the saver, more on the main. If rain moves Legs 1, 3 or 5 to the dirt, re-weight toward proven-dirt/speed horses noted in each race below.

If It Rains — The Wet-Track Plan

Turf races: 3 · 5 · 7 · 9

Two different rain scenarios

Scenario A — races stay on grass (soft/yielding turf). Light rain may only soften the course. The order barely changes; lean slightly toward horses with soft-turf/mud pedigree and away from need-the-lead speed on tiring ground. My dry top picks mostly hold.

Scenario B — races come off to the main dirt track. This is the big swing. Each turf race (3, 5, 7, 9) has a printed main-track clause, and Races 5, 7 & 9 are Pick-5 legs. Off the grass, proven-dirt form and tactical speed win — the grass-bred first-timers and pure-turf closers drop sharply. The revised picks below assume Scenario B on a wet/sloppy dirt strip, where the meet's speed-and-rail bias gets stronger, not weaker.

OFF
TURF

Revised picks if the turf races move to dirt

Based on each horse's actual dirt/wet form & mud pedigree in the program

Race	Dry (turf) top pick	Wet / off-turf top pick	Why it changes
3	9 Kihei Kiana / 10 Callie's Dance	10 Callie's Dance → 9 Kihei Kiana	Both already ran on dirt (Callie's Dance 2nd, fig 74; Kihei Kiana 3rd, fig 71). On dirt they tower over the grass-bred first-timers, and Callie's E speed fits the wet-dirt bias. Toss the turf-only debut runners.
5	1 Sneakily (single)	6 Classic Glide & 5 Totally Justified, then 1	Sneakily has never raced on dirt (all turf form). Classic Glide won last out on a sloppy dirt track; Totally Justified is a $775k Justify filly who ran 3rd on sloppy dirt last time. Both proven wet-dirt — promote them; keep Sneakily (Tapit handles wet) but no longer a single.
7	2 Code Zero / 3 Smoke Trail	3 Smoke Trail, 8 Warfork, 2 Code Zero	Smoke Trail is the only one with an actual dirt figure. Warfork is by Ghostzapper (dirt sire) and improves off grass. Widen — most are first-timers who become a pedigree guess on a wet strip.
9	4 Let's Be Frank / 7 Banksy's	7 Banksy's (clear), then 12, 2, 6	Banksy's entire race record is on dirt (four seconds, top figure) — he becomes the standout. Diamond Eyed Jack (12) & Limelight (2) own dirt figures; El Tio (6, Uncle Mo) ran his best on dirt. Grass-first Let's Be Frank drops.

Also note — the two dirt legs (R6 & R8) if it turns sloppy. These already run on the main track, so they don't "come off," but a wet-fast/sloppy surface amplifies speed and rewards mud pedigree. In R6, Lunar Module (sire Conveyance 23% mud) and Zambezi (Candy Ride 20% mud) gain; So Sandy (Omaha Beach 19% mud) is fine. In R8, a sloppy 6f makes early speed nearly decisive — favor the E/P group (Cash Call, One Magic Philly, Echo Sound, Jersey Pearl) over the closers Evanescence/Kilwin.

Rain Ticket · Saver$16.00

R56, 5
R64, 5
R73, 8
R86, 5
R97, 12

2×2×2×2×2 = 32 combos × $0.50. Wet-dirt form only, two deep per leg.

Rain Ticket · Main$121.50

R56, 5, 1
R64, 5, 7
R73, 8, 2
R86, 5, 3
R97, 12, 2

3×3×3×3×3 = 243 combos × $0.50. Covers the ability horses that also handle a wet strip.

Split Decisiongame-time

Don't commit early. Track condition and "main track only" scratches are usually posted well before Race 5's 2:44 post.
If the turf holds → play the dry tickets (Sneakily single).
If it's taken off → play a rain ticket (Sneakily no longer a single).

The one thing not to do is single Sneakily on a ticket you fire before the turf comes off.

Clm 30000n2L

6½ Furlongs · Dirt · 3&up · $40,000 · Post 12:50

#	Horse	ML	Style	PP	Best@Dist	Angle
7	Cant Stop Munnings	5/2	P2	121.3	—	Top prime power & class rating; 3rd vs similar last; 51 days off, failed as fav last.
6	Culprit	4/1	E/P1	120.0	90	Fastest best-dirt-speed in field; ideal speed/rail profile — but 51 days off & a PV-injured scratch 07/05. Watch the tote/warm-up.
3	White Whale	3/1	E/P2	119.3	—	Drops in class; trainer 100% 2nd-off-claim; returns to a sprint. Only 1 win / 16 starts.
5	Impavido	6/1	E/P7	117.1	—	Won 2 back at a lower level; sharp 4f work; poor last 2 figs, moves up.
8	Another Monarch	10/1	P0	117.7	80	Highest last-race speed figure (78); consistent minor awards; no early foot for this bias.
1	Good Mojo	10/1	E/P0	117.9	82	4th start off layoff angle; hot trainer/jockey combo; beaten by weaker last.
2	Dispersion	12/1	P4	114.9	—	3-yr-old dropping in; Arrieta up; figures a notch light.
4	Big Tech	8/1	E4	111.3	—	3+ months off; barn 0-for-meet; poor last 2 figs.

Verdict A speed-favoring sprint that suits the E/P group. Cant Stop Munnings has the class but is a presser off a layoff who failed as the chalk last out. Culprit owns the fastest raw speed and the perfect style/post profile — provided his morning warm-up is clean after the recent injury scratch. White Whale's class drop + 100% 2nd-off-claim angle makes him the most reliable win-and-price play. Use 6, 3, 7 on top with 5, 8, 1 underneath.

MC 30000 · Maidens

5½ Furlongs · Dirt · 2yo · $37,500 · Post 1:19

#	Horse	ML	Style	PP	LR fig	Angle
5	Joe Joe Dude	5/2	E4	106.8	35	Top prime power & fastest dirt speed; drops in class; blinkers off. Speed style fits the bias, but faded badly last out.
4	Mr. Fete	4/1	S0	105.4	60	Field-high last-race figure (60); 3rd vs tougher; drops; red-hot barn (Ennis 8:3-0-1). Closing style fights the bias.
9	Jack's Back	7/2	P2	103.3	58	$100k yearling; drops in class; Asmussen; steady 3rd/4th figures.
6	Charlatan West	6/1	1st	—	First-time starter; Asmussen; stakes-winning female family, sharp gate work — the live debut runner.
1	Heart of a Hero	8/1	P2	102.6	49	Returns to dirt from turf; drops in; two dull tries.
7	Fortunistic	10/1	1st	—	Debut; Mo Town colt bred for the trip; dam winless from 2 to date.
2 / 3 / 8	Thunder Town / Lookism / Mindful Keeper	12-15/1	1st/—	—	Debut or lightly-raced longshots; weak connections stats.

Verdict Favorites in this exact race-type win 40% (ITM 100%), so respect the top of the board. Joe Joe Dude has the class and the right speed style but must rebound from a troubled last race. Jack's Back (class drop, Asmussen) and first-timer Charlatan West are the main threats; Mr. Fete has the best recent number but has to close into a speed-tilted track. Not a Pick-5 leg.

Md Opt Clm 50000 · Fillies

5½ Furlongs · Turf* · 2yo F · $53,000 · Post 1:48

#	Horse	ML	Style	PP	LR fig	Angle
9	Kihei Kiana	3/1	S0	121.6	71	Top prime power & field-best figure; 3rd on dirt debut vs tougher; drops in; Calhoun. Dirt-to-turf, never on grass.
10	Callie's Dance	5/1	E6	121.3	74	Highest last-race speed rating (74); ran 2nd on dirt debut; sharp 5f bullet-ish work; Dirt-to-Turf +0.28 angle. Speed style helps most if it comes off.
4	Donie Maronie	9/2	1st	—	Casse firster; Golden Pal filly bred for grass; solid works.
3	Southern Kiss	8/1	1st	—	Casse firster; Golden Pal; turf-page dam (stakes winner). Live debut.
13	Brightwater (AE)	6/1	1st	—	Geroux (38% meet) named; grass breeding; needs to draw in.
1	Chiqueada	12/1	—	112.6	61	Hot Ennis/Achard combo; dirt-to-turf; one modest dirt try.
6 / 14 / 2	Holiday Weekend / Gracie's Lakehouse / Opalite Dust	8-15/1	1st	—	Turf-bred first-timers; live at a price if the leaders bunch.

Verdict Wide-open turf maiden with only two proven runners. Kihei Kiana and Callie's Dance are the class of the field on figures; the rest are first-time-starters from Casse (4, 3) and Geroux-ridden debuts. Turf 5.5f here favors mid-pack posts (4-7) and E/P — a point in Callie's Dance's favor. Off-turf note: if it rains onto the main track, the two with dirt figures (10 Callie's Dance, 9 Kihei Kiana) are heavily advantaged over the grass-bred debut runners.

Clm 10000n2L · F&M

5½ Furlongs · Dirt · 3&up F&M · $27,500 · Post 2:16

#	Horse	ML	Style	PP	Best@Dist	Angle
2	Artella	7/2	E3	108.3	73	Top prime power; highest last-race figure; won last (maiden). E style fits the bias; moves up in class.
4	Silent Strike	3/1	P2	104.7	64	Fastest best-dirt-speed (tie); blinkers on; hot barn (Santamaria 6:2-1-1); ran 2nd on turf last. Failed as fav, 2+ mo off.
8	Mo Indian Lady	4/1	S3	103.0	62	Drops in class; switches to high-% Arrieta; 2+ months off; closer vs a speed bias.
1	Caroom's Croupier	5/1	E4	104.0	—	Fastest best-dirt-speed (tie); 3rd vs tougher last; "suspicious" class drop noted by the form.
3	I'm Hungover	8/1	S3	98.4	—	Won last; moves up; needs pace to close into.
7	Dot Your Eyes	12/1	S3	96.3	—	Won last on turf; moves up to dirt; figures short.
6 / 5	Pauline's Angel / Honey's On Fire	8-12/1	P/E	99.5/94.0	—	Class-droppers with soft recent numbers.

Verdict Bottom-level claimer where Artella pairs the top figure with the ideal E style for the surface, though she rises in class. Silent Strike (blinkers, hot barn, top raw speed) and the "suspicious-drop" Caroom's Croupier add early pace. Mo Indian Lady is the closer to catch a hot pace. Note only two races of this exact type have been run at the meet (both won by sub-5/1 chalk). Not a Pick-5 leg.

Alw 102000n1x · F&M

1⅛ Miles · Turf* · 3&up F&M · $102,000 · Post 2:44

Pick 5 · Leg 1

#	Horse	ML	Style	PP	LR fig	Angle
1	Sneakily	8/5	S0	136.4	91	Class of the field. Top PP by 4 pts; field-high last-race figure; won her lone 2026 start from far back; Cox barn + Geroux hot (4:2-1-0). Tapit filly, $850k. Best turf speed > avg winning speed. Moves up.
5	Totally Justified	5/2	P0	126.7	83	$775k Justify filly; fastest best-turf-speed in the field; drops from graded-stakes company; 4th start off layoff angle; 22% barn Dirt-to-Turf.
6	Classic Glide	12/1	P2	132.5	78	2nd-highest PP; won last (on dirt); switches to high-% Arrieta. Barn is only 6% dirt-to-turf — the caveat.
3	Noshametohergame	4/1	E5	120.4	73	Lightly raced (won debut on turf); 6+ months off; 2nd-time-Lasix & 90+-day barn angles both positive; E style helps.
2	Pookie	6/1	P5	119.0	80	Deep turf-route experience but 1 win / 11; jockey & barn cold on turf.
4	Heart Spin	12/1	S1	117.5	75	Honest turf mare, 1 win / 21; best turf speed > avg winning; deep closer, apprentice-type bug rider.
7	Wine Party	12/1	P0	120.2	78	Calumet; 17% turf-starts barn; modest figures, needs a step forward.

Verdict / Leg 1 Sneakily is the strongest single on the card — class, connections, form and a figure edge. The saver & spread tickets single her; the main can add Totally Justified (class-drop, fastest turf figure) as insurance. Off-turf note: if this comes off to the main track (1⅛m dirt), Totally Justified — a $775k dirt-pedigreed Justify filly who has run well on dirt — and E-type Noshametohergame gain, while pure-turf Pookie/Wine Party lose value. Consider adding #5 in that scenario.

Opt Clm 62500n2x

1 Mile · Dirt · 3&up · $104,000 · Post 3:12

Pick 5 · Leg 2

#	Horse	ML	Style	PP	Best@Dist	Angle
4	Classic Car Wash	5/1	E/P5	132.0	96	Fastest best-dirt-speed in field; ran 2nd last; 20% barn 2nd-off-claim; E/P style + 8f speed bias = perfect fit.
5	Lunar Module	8/1	E/P8	131.1	—	Highest last-race speed rating (95); won last; Curtis hot (13:4-0-3); sharp 4f work; very high early-speed points.
7	Urban Planner	12/1	P2	128.6	—	Won last two; Jacobson barn 23% "won last race"; hot tnr/jky combo (8:2-2-0). Underlaid on the M/L.
3	So Sandy	2/1	E/P8	136.9	—	Top prime power; $535k Omaha Beach colt; loads of early foot for the bias — but 8+ months off & failed as fav last. Vulnerable favorite.
8	Dive Bomber	6/1	E/P6	132.5	—	2nd-highest PP; hot barn (Shorter 6:2-1-0); consistent; cuts back off two solid sprints.
9	Zambezi	6/1	E/P4	132.4	98	Field-high best-speed-at-dist (98); 3rd last; 2+ months off; Maker.
6	Vamos Carlitos	9/2	E/P4	128.8	—	Ran 2nd last; jockey cold this meet; stretch-out concern (5% barn sprint-to-route).
1 / 2	Special Session / Overstatement	15-20/1	E/P	128.8/123.0	—	Class-relief/longshots with figures that rank light vs the group.

Verdict / Leg 2 One of the two deepest Pick-5 legs — seven live E/P types into an 87%-speed-biased mile. Classic Car Wash is the play: fastest raw speed, right style, 2nd-off-claim barn angle. Lunar Module (best last figure, won last, hot rider) and Urban Planner (won last two) are the prime dangers; favorite So Sandy must be used but is beatable off the long layoff. Spread here on the main/spread tickets.

Maiden 100k · 2yo

1 Mile · Turf* · 2yo · $100,000 · Post 3:42

Pick 5 · Leg 3

#	Horse	ML	Style	PP	LR fig	Angle
2	Code Zero	3/1	1st	—	Cox first-timer; $175k Candy Ride colt bred for turf/route; positive debut & turf barn angles; sharp 4f work. Class debut of the field.
3	Smoke Trail	6/1	P6	122.5	77	Top prime power; field-high last figure (77); 3rd last; best turf speed in field; Ennis/Achard hot combo. Caveat: 1st time at a route.
6	Best Screenplay	7/2	1st	—	Walsh (20:10-2-3, 50%) & Curtis (hot) — the meet's hottest debut combo; Oscar Performance colt bred for grass.
5	Good to Be King	5/1	1st on grass	118.3	73	War Front colt; one turf race (73); improves 2nd time; jockey cold this meet.
8	Warfork	9/2	1st	—	Casse first-timer; Ghostzapper colt; solid works.
12	Kurita's Folly (AE)	8/1	1st	—	Grass-bred debut; Danner barn hot (3:2-1-0); needs to draw in.
4	Sir Hansen	6/1	1st	—	Maker firster bred for the route; barn only 7% debut-turf.

Verdict / Leg 3 A first-time-starter–heavy turf route where only Smoke Trail, Good to Be King (and longshots) have run. Code Zero (Cox, priciest, turf-bred, working well) is the logical debut top choice; Smoke Trail has the best figures but must prove he stays a mile; Best Screenplay is the live debut off the meet's hottest combo. Off-turf note: if it comes off, Smoke Trail (a dirt figure already) and Good to Be King's tactical speed gain, while the pure-turf debut runners are a guess on dirt — widen this leg if rain hits.

Twin Bridges S. (Black type)

6 Furlongs · Dirt · 3&up F&M · $175,000 · Post 4:12

Pick 5 · Leg 4

#	Horse	ML	Style	PP	Best@Dist	Angle
6	Cash Call	3/1	E/P6	137.3	100	Baffert (3-for-4 at meet); won last; 4-1-2 in 8 lifetime; hot Geroux combo (3:3-0-0). E/P speed into a 6f speed bias. Moves up in class.
5	One Magic Philly	4/1	E/P5	136.8	100	Fastest best-dirt-speed (tie, 100); Walsh (hot 50% meet); drops in from graded company; ideal style/surface fit.
3	Evanescence	7/2	S2	138.8	—	Top prime power; field-high last-race figure (96); drops in class; Kenneally/Machado. Closer — the bias is the only knock.
4	Kilwin	9/2	S0	138.7	—	$1.1M earner & Grade-1 winner; drops way in; but 10 months off & a deep closer vs a speed track.
9	Echo Sound	6/1	E/P5	132.6	—	5 wins / 8 lifetime; drops in; E/P style fits — but 10 months off and outside post.
7	Jersey Pearl	10/1	E6	135.2	—	Drops in; owns the highest speed figure recorded at today's distance; pure E style. 55 days off.
1	Asternia	12/1	E/P6	130.5	—	$712k earner; 3rd last; 2+ months off; 18% barn 46-90-day angle.
8 / 10	Tapit Quick / Pistol	30/1	E/P·P	125.8/124.9	—	Figures rank behind; outside posts a further negative.

Verdict / Leg 4 The deepest, richest leg — five legitimate stakes-caliber fillies/mares. On a 6f dirt playing to speed and the rail, the E/P group is favored: Cash Call (Baffert, won last, hot combo) and One Magic Philly (fastest dirt speed, Walsh, class-drop) are the style-plus-class plays. Evanescence (top figure) and Kilwin (class) are the closers who must overcome the bias. Spread across 4-5 here on the main/spread tickets; the saver leans on the two E/P types.

Maiden 100k

1⅛ Miles · Turf* · 3&up · $100,000 · Post 4:42

Pick 5 · Leg 5

#	Horse	ML	Style	PP	LR fig	Angle
4	Let's Be Frank	3/1	S2	133.7	83	2nd-highest PP; best-turf-speed in field (tie); consistent turf placings (0-1-2); blinkers on; McCarthy. Failed as fav last.
7	Banksy's	4/1	S2	134.0	85	Top prime power; field-high last figure (tie, 85); FOUR runner-up finishes; Fawkes. First time on turf, but page & Dirt-to-Turf angle (+3.86) suggest grass. All-dirt form.
5	Payton's Hammer	12/1	E/P4	126.8	—	Best-turf-speed in field (tie); the only genuine E/P — the run style the turf-route bias favors. Beaten by weaker last.
10	Ravenous	5/1	S0	121.0	76	Walsh (hot); 3 months off; two turf tries; closer.
2	Limelight	8/1	E6	117.5	85	Field-high last figure (tie, 85); 3rd last; E style suits the bias; Authentic colt.
12	Diamond Eyed Jack (AE)	12/1	E/P4	125.1	79	Walsh; 3rd-off-layoff angle (21% barn); consistent minor awards; E/P style helps.
9	Terre Haute	12/1	P4	111.2	69	Hot Ennis/Achard combo; blinkers on; three thirds; figures short.
1 / 3 / 6	Slide Away / Massachusetts / El Tio	20/1	—	65-118	Well-bred but long-idle / poor-figure types; toss on figures.

Verdict / Leg 5 An open turf-route maiden. Let's Be Frank and Banksy's sit on top by prime power and speed figure; Payton's Hammer and Limelight add the E/P/E dimension the printed turf bias favors. Use 4/7 on top with 5/2 (and 10/12 on the wider tickets). Off-turf note: if this moves to the dirt, Banksy's — whose entire race record is on dirt with four seconds — becomes the clear top choice, while grass-first types (Let's Be Frank, Payton's Hammer) drop. Bump #7 up if rain hits.

Method & Sources

Every rating cited above is taken directly from the Brisnet Ultimate PP program for this card: Prime Power (composite class/form rating), Best Speed at Distance and last-race speed figures, printed run styles (E / E/P / P / S with the early-pace number), the meet and week Track Bias Stats, connection win rates, breeding (sire/dam-sire AWD, turf/mud aptitude) and the printed trainer/jockey angle lines. Weather is the Sunday, July 19 2026 forecast for Henderson, KY (high ~87.7°F, ~40% afternoon rain). The four turf races (3, 5, 7, 9) each carry a published main-track contingency, noted where it changes the read.

For informational and analytical purposes only. This report summarizes published past-performance data; it is not betting or financial advice and does not guarantee outcomes. Horse racing wagering carries risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose, and please gamble responsibly. If gambling is a problem, help is available (in the U.S., 1-800-GAMBLER).

Past-performance data © 2026 Bloodstock Research Information Services (Brisnet), created with data supplied by and proprietary to Equibase Company LLC. Reproduced here for analysis. Report generated July 18, 2026.